Why did Trump let the American frequency "retreat"? What about the Iranian nuclear deal?
BEIJING, May 10 (Zhang Aijing) US President Trump announced on the 8th that the United States would withdraw from the Iranian nuclear deal and restart sanctions against Iraq. This decision has aroused great concern in the international community, and Iran and other participating countries in the Iranian nuclear deal have made it clear that they will remain in the agreement. Since taking office, the Trump administration has announced its withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement), UNESCO, etc., and has repeatedly "broken the contract", which makes people have to ask, where is the "contractual spirit" of the United States?
[The United States has "retired" from the group again]
On the afternoon of the 8 th local time, Trump officially announced that the United States would withdraw from the comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue. In his televised speech that day, Trump once again accused the Iranian nuclear deal of being "bad". He said that the United States will restart the sanctions against Iraq exempted under the Iranian nuclear deal and impose the most severe economic sanctions on Iran.
The JCPOA(Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) reached by the six countries (the United States, Britain, France, Russia, China and Germany) on the Iranian nuclear issue in July 2015 is one of the most remarkable achievements made by the international community in preventing nuclear proliferation. According to the agreement, Iran must stop its nuclear weapons research and development program in exchange for the lifting of sanctions against Iraq by the international community.
But for Trump, the the Iranian nuclear deal signed during the Obama administration has always been a thorn in his side. Since running for the presidency in 2016, he has repeatedly called the Iranian nuclear deal a "catastrophic defect" and a "historic mistake", and threatened that the United States would quit.
[Expert: It will not cause "fatal consequences" to the agreement]
Faced with the "willful" decision of the President of the United States, many countries in the world expressed serious concern, deep disappointment and regret. Other parties to the Iranian nuclear issue also have a clear attitude: they will not quit and will continue to work hard to fully implement the agreement. Iran also said that it will stay in the agreement for the time being and will consult with other parties to the agreement.
The withdrawal of the United States will inevitably have an impact on the Iranian nuclear deal’s prospects. However, experts pointed out that Trump’s decision will not bring "fatal consequences" to the agreement.
Hua Liming, China’s former ambassador to Iran, said in an interview with Zhongxin. com that the withdrawal of the US side from the agreement and the resumption of sanctions will cause a considerable blow to Iran, but the blow is limited. Iran has not exported oil to the United States for a long time, and there is basically no trade between the two countries. Although this time, the US move may make Iran’s contract to buy Boeing aircraft fall through, "Iran knows that as long as it stays in the Iranian nuclear deal, other countries will not restart sanctions and Iran’s economic lifeline will not be broken". This is also the reason why Iran did not directly make tough moves such as restarting uranium enrichment after the United States announced its withdrawal.
[Different voice: Israel]
While the international community expressed regret over the United States’ actions, one country voiced different voices, that is, Iran’s "old enemy" Israel.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that Israel "fully supports" Trump’s decision. He also said that Israel opposed the agreement from the beginning and believed that the lifting of sanctions against Iran in the agreement had caused "disastrous consequences." Just a week ago, Netanyahu also disclosed the "secret documents" of Iran’s nuclear weapons.
According to the analysis, when Trump announced the withdrawal of the United States from the Iranian nuclear deal, Israel played a "pushing hand" role. Hua Liming pointed out that from the Middle East, the Iranian nuclear issue is a sharp contradiction between Iran and Israel. Once Iran holds a nuclear weapon, it will break Israel’s nuclear monopoly in the region, so Israel tries every means to denuclearize Iran and maintain its position.
After Trump announced the withdrawal of the United States from the agreement, although the Iranian nuclear issue will not "explode", it will further aggravate the contradiction between Iraq and Israel. Netanyahu’s statement will not help ease the situation.
[In these years, what "international groups" did Trump let the United States withdraw from? 】
Group name: Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement
Before he announced his withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal, Trump had "moved his knife" to several important agreements in which the United States participated, the first of which was the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP).
Group members: 12 countries including the United States.
TPP negotiations were initially initiated by four Pacific Rim countries: Chile, Singapore, New Zealand and Brunei. At the end of 2009, the Obama administration announced its participation in the negotiations. In October 2015, 12 countries including the United States reached the TPP.
Former US President Barack Obama once said that he hopes to build TPP into "a high-standard and comprehensive multilateral free trade agreement for the 21st century".
Time to leave the group: January 23, 2017
Reason for quitting the group: it will hit the American manufacturing industry.
Trump believes that TPP will "destroy" American manufacturing. On January 23, 2017, only three days after taking office, Trump signed an executive order announcing the withdrawal of the United States from the agreement.
Group Name: Paris Climate Change Agreement
Less than half a year after taking office, Trump announced that the United States had withdrawn from the Paris Agreement to deal with global climate change.
Group members: more than 170 parties around the world signed it, and more than 20 parties completed the ratification procedure.
The Paris Agreement was reached by countries at the end of 2015 to replace the Kyoto Protocol, which will expire in 2020. The main goal of the agreement is to control the global average temperature rise within 2 degrees Celsius in this century, and to control the global temperature rise within 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level.
Time to leave the group: June 1, 2017
Reasons for quitting the group: it benefits other countries and is not conducive to the United States.
Trump believes that the Paris Agreement puts the United States at a disadvantage and benefits other countries. He said that the United States should restart negotiations and seek to reach an agreement that is fair to the United States.
Group name: UNESCO
Subsequently, the United States announced its withdrawal from an important "international group" — — UNESCO.
Group members: more than 190 member countries around the world.
UNESCO was founded in 1946 with the aim of promoting cooperation among countries through education, science and culture and contributing to world peace and security.
Time to leave the group: October 12, 2017
Reasons for quitting the group: arrears, and the organization is "biased" against Israel.
According to the US government, the decision to withdraw from UNESCO is mainly due to the increasing arrears, the need for fundamental institutional reform, and concerns about the organization’s "persistent prejudice against Israel". According to the relevant provisions, the US "exit" will take effect at the end of 2018.
[The real reason for frequent "quitting the group"]
Since Trump took office, the United States has withdrawn from a series of important international agreements, and its unilateralism tendency has become more and more serious. However, experts pointed out that in the context of the mid-term elections to be held in the United States in 2018, Trump’s foreign policies are actually out of domestic political needs.
Hua Liming, China’s former ambassador to Iran, pointed out that in the 2016 general election, domestic politics in the United States "turned over" and traditional political elites were squeezed. After Trump entered the White House, the first thing he did was to overthrow all the policies of the traditional political elite. The first thing to bear the brunt was the policies implemented by former President Obama, such as the Obama medical insurance law.
As for foreign policy, the Iranian nuclear deal is the most important political legacy of Obama.
Hua Liming said that now, the most important things for Trump are three — — Prevent Democrats from impeaching him, let the Republican Party keep its majority in the mid-term congressional elections in November, and let itself run again in 2020 — — All his foreign policies serve these purposes.
Hua Liming also pointed out that it is worth noting that Trump "said a lot of things", but because of the limited national strength of the United States, many things are often "held high and gently dropped". "For example, the most typical North Korean nuclear issue, Trump also clamored for a military strike against North Korea a year ago, and now the leaders of the United States and the DPRK can sit down and meet."
After Trump entered the White House, he successively "retired", which aroused many voices of opposition in the international community and the United States. In the future, the United States may inevitably have to pay for these "willful" behaviors. (End)







































